Kevin Holland was looking to make his 5th UFC appearance of 2020 in his first main event bout against Jack Hermansson, but was forced to withdraw earlier this week due to the Rona. Thus, “The Italian Dream” Marvin Vettori has stepped up to save the night, and he will face “The Joker” Jack Hermansson instead. This weekends fights are scheduled a bit earlier than usual, with the prelims beginning at 3:00pm CST on ESPN 2 and the main card kicking off at 6:00. Follow along as we break down each of the main card matchups for this Saturday’s event, and give our picks and predictions for how we see each of those fights going down.
Nate Landwehr (14-3) vs. Movsar Evloev (13-0)
Bovada betting odds as of 11/29/20: Evloev (-600), Landwehr (+400)
First up on the main card, Russia’s Mosvar Evloev enters fight week an enormous -600 favorite over Nate “The Train” Landwehr. Evloev is 13-0 with 7 finishes. He’s 3-0 in the UFC, and oddly enough, the only other promotion that he’s fought for is M-1. Nate Landwehr will be making his 3rd UFC appearance. He’s 1-1 with the promotion, losing to Herbert Burns in his debut back in January of this year, but getting one back against Darren Elkins in May.
Our pick: Evloev, decision
Roman Dolidze (7-0) vs. John Allan (13-5-0, 1NC)
Bovada betting odds as of 11/29/20: Dolidze (-160), Allan (+130)
Next up, Ukraine’s Roman Dolidze faces Brazil’s John Allan. Dolidze enters fight week a slight -160 favorite, although he’s only making his second UFC appearance. Dolidze won his debut by first-round finish on Fight Island back in July, and this will be his first time competing in the United States. John Allan will also be making his encore UFC appearance. In his first showing, Allan was a short-notice replacement for Gian Villante to face Mike Rodriguez on July 13th of 2019. Allan originally won that fight, but it was later overturned to a no contest following a failed USADA-administered drug test.
Our pick: Allan, 2nd-round submission
Montana De La Rosa (11-6) vs. Taila Santos (16-1)
Bovada betting odds as of 11/29/20: Santos (-205), De La Rosa (+165)
Third up, we’ve got our first and only female fracas on the main card in Montana De La Rosa vs. Taila Santos. De La Rosa will be making her 5th walk to the Octagon Saturday night by way of The Ultimate Fighter. She’s currently 2-2, and she’s coming off of a loss to Viviane Araujo back in September. She did, however, manage to beat the only woman to ever defeat Taila Santos, Mara Romero Borella, in February of this year. Taila Santos enters fight week a sizeable -205 favorite in this matchup. She will be making her 3rd UFC appearance, by way of the Contender Series, and she’s 1-1 with the promotion. This will be just Santos’ second appearance in 2020, but she bested Molly McCann by decision back in July.
Our pick: Santos, decision
Ovince Saint Preux (25-14) vs. Jamahal Hill (7-0-0, 1NC)
Bovada betting odds as of 11/29/20: Hill (-170), Saint Preux (+140)
In the co-main event, UFC and Strikeforce legend Ovince St. Preux squares off with Jamahal “Sweet Dreams” Hill. Jamahal Hill will be making just his 3rd UFC appearance by way of the Contender Series. Four out of 7 of Hill’s career wins have been finishes, and he’s coming off of a 1st-round stoppage of Klidson Abreu back in May. Ovince Saint Preux will be making his 23rd walk to the Octagon Saturday night, and overall he’s 13-9 in the UFC. Saint Preux has had a bit of a resurgence in his career as of late, going 2-1 in his last 3, most recently delivering a 2nd-round knockout to Alonzo Menifield last September.
Our pick: Saint Preux, 2nd-round KO/TKO
Jack Hermansson (21-5) vs. Marvin Vettori (15-4-1)
5Dimes betting odds as of 11/29/20: Vetorri (-130), Hermansson (+110)
In the main event, #4 ranked UFC Middleweight Jack Hermannson takes on late replacement #13 ranked Marvin Vettori. Vegas has Vettori a slight -130 favorite entering fight week, even though Hermansson outranks Vettori and has the edge in UFC experience. Hermansson will be making his 12th walk to the Octagon, and he’s gone 8-3 since entering the promotion in mid-2016. He’s coming off of a picturesque 1st-round heel hook submission win over Kelvin Gastelum in Abu Dhabi back in July. Marvin Vettori will be making his 9th UFC appearance on Saturday night, and he’s currently riding a 3-fight win streak. His last loss was a split-decision to the current Middleweight champion, the undefeated Israel Adesanya, back in April of 2018.
Our pick: Vetorri, decision
Tell us what you think! Where do we have it right, and where do you think we got it wrong? Comment with your picks, and don’t forget to bookmark our page and check back often for more predictions and fight coverage. If you like what you see, go ahead and give our Facebook page a like and follow us on Twitter & Instagram @fightsportfocus. Also, subscribe to the Fight Sport Focus podcast on Anchor.fm, Spotify, iTunes or wherever you get your podcasts!