Islam Makhachev pulled out of the main event against Rafael Dos Anjos late Sunday evening, and not only did Paul Felder step up to take this fight on less than 6 days notice, but he also agreed to make weight to keep the fight at Lightweight. UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos is this Saturday, November 14th from the UFC Apex, with the preliminaries starting at 3:00pm CST and the main card kicking off at 6:00pm. After going 11-0 over two weeks with our picks, last week’s card left us a dismal 1-3. Follow along as we seek redemption and break down each of the main card matchups for this Saturday’s event, and give our picks and predictions for how we see each of those fights going down.
Daniel Rodriguez (13-1) vs. Bryan Barberena (15-7)
Bovada betting odds as of 11/10/20: Rodriguez (-200), Barberena (+160)
The opening act of the main card features Daniel Rodriguez taking on Bryan Barberena. Rodriguez is making just his fourth walk to the Octagon, but he enters fight week as a sizeable favorite over a 6-year UFC veteran. Rodriguez is 3-0 in the UFC (2 finishes) and he’s on a 9-fight win streak dating back to 2017. Bryan Barberena made his UFC debut back in December of 2014. Since then, he’s gone just 6-5, and this very well could be a fight for Barberena’s claim to remain on the UFC roster.
Our pick: Rodriguez, 3rd-round KO/TKO
Eryk Anders (13-5) vs. Antonio Arroyo (9-3)
Bovada betting odds as of 11/10/20: Anders (-145), Arroyo (+115)
Second-up on the main card is UFC veteran and ex-Alabama football standout Eryk Anders squaring off with Dana White’s Contender Series prospect Antonio Arroyo. The ever-active Eryk Anders will be making his 11th UFC appearance in less than three and a half years. In that time, however, Anders has gone just 5-5, and much like Bryan Barberena, Anders could see himself on the outside of the UFC looking in with a loss Saturday night. Brazil’s Antonio Arroyo first appeared on the Contender Series back in August of 2018. Having won that fight (but being unable to finish it), Arroyo had a second shot on the Contender Series in July of 2019, and he ended up winning by a second-round arm-triangle. Arroyo lost his UFC debut back in November of last year, and this will be his first appearance of 2020.
Our pick: Anders, decision
Julian Marquez (7-2) vs. Saparbek Safarov (9-3)
Bovada betting odds as of 11/10/20: Marquez (-300), Safarov (+230)
In the third act, Julian Marquez enters fight week as the largest betting favorite on either the preliminary or main card as he is scheduled to take on the Russian Saparbek Safarov. Marquez made his way to the UFC by way of the very first season of the Contender Series back in 2017. Since then, however, he’s fought only twice: a huge win over Darren Stewart in his UFC debut, and a loss to Alessio Di Chirico in July of 2018. Saparbek Safarov will be making his 5th UFC appearance, and he’s currently just 1-3 with the promotion. Safarov was finished in all 3 of his losses, and in his only UFC win, he went to a decision with Nicolae Negumereanu back in March.
Our pick: Marquez, 1st-round KO/TKO
Abdul Razak Alhassan (10-2) vs. Kalinn Williams (10-1)
Bovada betting odds as of 11/10/20: Alhassan (-235), Williams (+185)
In the co-main event, UFC veteran Abdul Razak Alhassan faces Kalinn (Khaos) Williams. Although Williams possesses the slightly better winning percentage, Alhassan enters fight week a respectable -235 favorite. Alhassan will be making his 7th walk to the Octagon this Saturday night. He’s 4-2 in the UFC, and he’s coming off of a unanimous decision loss to Mounir Lazzez back in in July. Kalinn (Khaos) Williams will be making just his second UFC appearance, and he won his debut against Alex Morono at UFC 247 back in February. Williams is currently riding a 7-fight win streak, consisting of four first-round finishes. If you’re looking to take a shot on an underdog, Williams is as good a pick as you’ll find on the main card.
Our pick: Williams, decision
Paul Felder (17-5) vs. Rafael dos Anjos (29-13)
Bovada betting odds as of 11/10/20: Dos Anjos (-170), Felder (+140)
Paul Felder stepped up to save the main event, and he has a tall task ahead of him as he faces former UFC Lightweight champion Rafael Dos Anjos. Felder is currently the #7 ranked Lightweight, and in just a little over 6 years, has 14 UFC appearances. Felder is 9-5 in the UFC, and he’s never been finished (3 out of those 5 losses were by split-decision, and the other two consist of a unanimous decision and a doctor’s stoppage). Most recently, Felder lost a split-decision to Dan Hooker back in February of this year. The former champion Rafael Dos Anjos’ UFC career dates back to UFC 91 all the way back in 2008. Between 2012-2015, Dos Anjos went on a 10-1 tear in the Lightweight division (only losing to a then relatively-unknown Khabib Nurmagomedov), claiming and then defending the Lightweight title. After losing the title to Eddie Alvarez and then a subsequent fight to Tony Ferguson, Dos Anjos made his way up to Welterweight. There, Dos Anjos would only go 4-4, but he lost to a who’s who list in the upper echelons of the UFC Welterweight division (namely Colby Covington, Kamaru Usman, and Leon Edwards). In the wake of Khabib Nurmagomedov’s retirement, the Lightweight division is wide open, and Rafael Dos Anjos makes his way back down with hopes of reclaiming past glory.
Our pick: Dos Anjos, decision
Tell us what you think! Where do we have it right, and where do you think we got it wrong? Comment with your picks, and don’t forget to bookmark our page and check back often for more predictions and fight coverage. If you like what you see, go ahead and give our Facebook page a like and follow us on Twitter & Instagram @fightsportfocus. Also, subscribe to the Fight Sport Focus podcast on Anchor.fm, Spotify, iTunes or wherever you get your podcasts!